Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Queensland 2023

Moreton Bay Utd

5 - 0

Olympic FC

Our Tip

Match Events

48'

Stewart J.

71'

Knight S.

73'

Stewart J.

Assist: Anderson D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland 2023 game between Moreton Bay Utd and Olympic FC finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton Bay Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Moreton Bay Utd

Draws

Olympic FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moreton Bay Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Moreton Bay Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
Moreton Bay Utd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Moreton Bay Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moreton Bay Utd	Olympic FC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	15	12
Draws	5	4
Losses	10	20
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	0	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2023 NPL Queensland

Moreton Bay Utd vs Olympic FC

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

5:0

Feb 25, 2023 NPL Queensland

Moreton Bay Utd vs Olympic FC

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Jul 20, 2022 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Moreton Bay Utd

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

5:2

Apr 2, 2022 NPL Queensland

Moreton Bay Utd vs Olympic FC

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Jul 11, 2021 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Moreton Bay Utd

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreton Bay Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Knight S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Olympic FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton Bay Utd 85 / 100

Olympic FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moreton Bay Utd Olympic FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton Bay Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Olympic FC conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Moreton Bay Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olympic FC

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 2.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights SC	22	14	6	2	45:21	48
2	Moreton Bay Utd	22	11	5	6	45:27	38
3	Gold Coast Utd	22	10	6	6	27:23	36
4	Brisbane City	22	10	5	7	46:30	35
5	Queensland Lions	22	8	10	4	37:29	34
6	Peninsula	22	9	7	6	34:30	34
7	Rochedale	22	9	3	10	33:31	30
8	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	22	8	5	9	26:34	29
9	Brisbane Roar U21	22	8	3	11	29:37	27
10	Redlands	22	7	5	10	32:33	26
11	Olympic FC	22	5	4	13	28:39	19
12	Eastern Suburbs	22	2	3	17	22:70	9