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Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Brisbane City U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Moreton City Excelsior U23 and Brisbane City U23 finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton City Excelsior U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moreton City Excelsior U23
6%
Draws
4%
Brisbane City U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brisbane City U23 haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Moreton City Excelsior U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Brisbane City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton City Excelsior U23 Brisbane City U23
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 12 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Brisbane City U23
7:0
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Brisbane City U23 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23
5:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 85 / 100
Brisbane City U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Brisbane City U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moreton City Excelsior U23 scored in 95% of their last 19 outings.

Brisbane City U23 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 8.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Moreton City Excelsior U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreton City Excelsior U23 VS Brisbane City U23
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2318121547:2937
5Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
6Gold Coast U231892742:4029
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310