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Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Gold Coast U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gold Coast U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Moreton City Excelsior U23
40%
Draws
29%
Gold Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast U23 haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Gold Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton City Excelsior U23 Gold Coast U23
Matches Played 19 18
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast U23 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Gold Coast U23
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 30 / 100
Gold Coast U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Gold Coast U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton City Excelsior U23's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Gold Coast U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Solid form: Moreton City Excelsior U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Moreton City Excelsior U23 VS Gold Coast U23
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2318121547:2937
5Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
6Gold Coast U231892742:4029
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310