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Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Peninsula U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Moreton City Excelsior U23 and Peninsula U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton City Excelsior U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moreton City Excelsior U23
6%
Draws
4%
Peninsula U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Peninsula U23 haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Moreton City Excelsior U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton City Excelsior U23 Peninsula U23
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 11 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 83 / 100
Peninsula U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Peninsula U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton City Excelsior U23 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (18 games).

Peninsula U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Moreton City Excelsior U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moreton City Excelsior U23 VS Peninsula U23
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions U2318115245:1938
2Rochedale U2318122449:2438
3Moreton City Excelsior U2318112549:2435
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2317111545:2834
5Eastern Suburbs U231893638:2330
6Gold Coast U231782741:4026
7Olympic FC U231872931:4023
8Peninsula U2318621034:4320
9Wynnum Wolves U2318621026:4120
10QLD State Team U1718611136:4719
11Brisbane City U2318531035:5018
12Magic United TFA FC U2318211513:637