Sport Picks
Moreton City Excelsior vs St. George Willawong
Australia
NPL Queensland 2025 Wolter Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland 2025 game between Moreton City Excelsior and St. George Willawong finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. George Willawong.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- St. George Willawong haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior's recent run of results.
- Model gives Moreton City Excelsior a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Queensland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | St. George Willawong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
St. George Willawong Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton City Excelsior's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
St. George Willawong let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Moreton City Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Moreton City Excelsior
(Home)St. George Willawong
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 48:23 | 47 |
| 2 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 48:29 | 42 |
| 3 | Peninsula | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 45:21 | 39 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 51:36 | 38 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:26 | 37 |
| 6 | Olympic FC | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 7 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 43:42 | 30 |
| 8 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 27 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 25:45 | 27 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27:48 | 19 |
| 12 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:64 | 9 |