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Mori vs Campodarsego

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Mosti L.
82'
En Naimi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Mori and Campodarsego finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campodarsego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
15%
Draws
85%
Campodarsego
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campodarsego

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campodarsego come out ahead of Mori on wins alone.
  • Model gives Campodarsego a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mori Clean Sheet 22%
Campodarsego Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Campodarsego
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Campodarsego
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Mori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Campodarsego Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 10 / 100
Campodarsego 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Campodarsego

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campodarsego Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campodarsego has conceded goals in 62% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mori found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Campodarsego registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Campodarsego
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
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Campodarsego

(Away)
20 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1 : 2
Campodarsego
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
03 May
Campodarsego
4 : 1
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)