Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mori vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Crestani A.
34' Event
Candio L.
41' Event
Chinellato M.

AI Match Summary

Montebelluna in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
15%
Draws
85%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montebelluna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montebelluna have won more games recently than Mori.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Montebelluna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Montebelluna have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mori Clean Sheet 10%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Montebelluna
2:4
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Mori
2:1
Apr 8, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Montebelluna
0:3
Nov 16, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Mori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Top Goalscorer Candio L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buccella S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Crestani A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chinellato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 10 / 100
Montebelluna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montebelluna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Montebelluna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Montebelluna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mori's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mori VS Montebelluna
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
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Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)