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Mori vs Virtus Bolzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Centazzo N.
89' Event
Centazzo N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Mori and Virtus Bolzano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Bolzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
15%
Draws
85%
Virtus Bolzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Bolzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mori haven't matched Virtus Bolzano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Virtus Bolzano a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mori Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Virtus Bolzano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Virtus Bolzano
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Mori
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Centazzo N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 10 / 100
Virtus Bolzano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Virtus Bolzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Bolzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Bolzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Virtus Bolzano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mori found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mori VS Virtus Bolzano
0.29 Goals Scored 1.25
3.29 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Bolzano

(Away)
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)