Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dasic J.
Assist: Zoric D.
25'
Denkovic S.
41'
Vieira N.

AI Match Summary

Atletic Escaldes in this Conference League tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mornar Bar
40%
Draws
29%
Atletic Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Atletic Escaldes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Mornar Bar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletic Escaldes, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Atletic Escaldes
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes
1:2
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Atletic Escaldes vs Mornar Bar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dasic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 32 / 100
Atletic Escaldes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Atletic Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletic Escaldes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Atletic Escaldes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
16 Jul
Mornar Bar
1 : 2
Atletic Escaldes
09 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Mornar Bar
01 Jul
Mornar Bar
0 : 0
Petrovac
01 Jul
Zemun
1 : 2
Mornar Bar
24 Jun
Mornar Bar
1 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Atletic Escaldes

(Away)
16 Jul
Mornar Bar
1 : 2
Atletic Escaldes
09 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Mornar Bar
23 May
FC Santa Coloma
2 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Inter Escaldes
3 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Motherwell-
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TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana1
Drita1
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar2
Riga FC3
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
BATE-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
Coleraine-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
RFS-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
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