Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Decic

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Perovic D.
46'
Sub
Perovic D. In: Ndiaye I.
Out: Perovic D.
46'
Sub
Selimi T. In: Radusinovic B.
Out: Selimi T.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 game between Mornar Bar and Decic finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mornar Bar
20%
Draws
40%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mornar Bar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 68%
Decic Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Decic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekulic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 41 / 100
Decic 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Decic has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Decic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
Page 1 of 6

Decic

(Away)
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)