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Mornar Bar vs Mladost DG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar host Mladost DG in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Mornar Bar have averaged 1.47 scored and 0.66 conceded recently, against Mladost DG's 1.21 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Mornar Bar slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.94, favoring Mornar Bar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mornar Bar
30%
Draws
31%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mornar Bar lately — more wins on the board than Mladost DG.
  • Model gives Mornar Bar a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mornar Bar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Mladost DG
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Mladost DG vs Mornar Bar
1:5
Aug 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Mornar Bar
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Mladost DG
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Mornar Bar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 85 / 100
Mladost DG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Mladost DG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Mornar Bar scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Mladost DG let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Mornar Bar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Mladost DG
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
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Mladost DG

(Away)
08 Oct
Otrant
2 : 2
Mladost DG
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Buducnost 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
3 Sutjeska 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
4 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
5 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)