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Morne des Esses vs RC Saint Joseph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RC Saint Joseph in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored RC Saint Joseph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Morne des Esses
15%
Draws
61%
RC Saint Joseph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Saint Joseph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RC Saint Joseph lately — more wins on the board than Morne des Esses.
  • Model gives RC Saint Joseph a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and RC Saint Joseph have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 10%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morne des Esses RC Saint Joseph
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 25
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.14 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs RC Saint Joseph
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs RC Saint Joseph
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Morne des Esses
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morne des Esses 10 / 100
RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morne des Esses RC Saint Joseph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morne des Esses scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

RC Saint Joseph let in goals in 36% of their last 33 matches.

Morne des Esses has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morne des Esses VS RC Saint Joseph
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morne des Esses

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
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RC Saint Joseph

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Emulation
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)