Sport Picks
Morne des Esses vs Samaritaine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Martinique
Trophee Gerard Janvion 
AI Match Summary
Morne des Esses host Samaritaine in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Morne des Esses at 1.17 goals for, 1.62 against; Samaritaine at 1.83 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Morne des Esses have won 1 to Samaritaine's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward Samaritaine. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Samaritaine carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Morne des Esses taking it.
- Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morne des Esses | Samaritaine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morne des Esses's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Samaritaine has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Morne des Esses remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Morne des Esses
(Home)Samaritaine
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Saint Joseph | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Franciscain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Golden Lion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Inter de Sainte-Anne | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Peleen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Assaut | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 7 | Golden Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Morne des Esses | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Club Colonial | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Samaritaine | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 11 | RC Riviere-Pilote | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 12 | Trenelle | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 13 | RC Lorrain | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Espoir | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 3 |
