Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Witbooi E.
13' Event
El Aoud I.
46'
Sub
Alioui A. In: Saidi E.
Out: Alioui A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Morocco U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Morocco U17
6%
Draws
4%
South Africa U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morocco U17 come out ahead of South Africa U17 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Morocco U17 taking it.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Morocco U17 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 16%
South Africa U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 South Africa U17
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 21 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 3.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baha Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Aoud I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

South Africa U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohloko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 84 / 100
South Africa U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 South Africa U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Africa U17 conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Morocco U17 scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Morocco U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS South Africa U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 8

South Africa U17

(Away)
20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3
Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Senegal U17
1 : 2
South Africa U17
15 Nov
Japan U17
3 : 0
South Africa U17
09 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 1
South Africa U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco U173
South Africa U171
Ivory Coast U171
Senegal U170
Burkina Faso U176
Zambia U171
Tunisia U171
Mali U172
Semi-finals
Morocco U171
Ivory Coast U170
Burkina Faso U170
Mali U172
Final
Morocco U171
Mali U170
Ivory Coast U172
Burkina Faso U171