Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U17 vs Uganda U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Belmokhtar I.
Assist: Ouazane A.
8' Event
Ait Cheikh D.
Assist: El Khalfioui Z.
24' Event
Baha Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Morocco U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Morocco U17
15%
Draws
37%
Uganda U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Morocco U17 have won more games recently than Uganda U17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 Uganda U17
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Uganda U17
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Belmokhtar I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ait Cheikh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Uganda U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 36 / 100
Uganda U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 Uganda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Morocco U17 scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Uganda U17 conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

Solid form: Morocco U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS Uganda U17
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 8

Uganda U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)