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Morocco U20 vs Spain U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Zahouani F.
38'
Khalifi Y.
46'
Sub
Roca J. In: Virgili J.
Out: Roca J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morocco U20
20%
Draws
40%
Spain U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Spain U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morocco U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Spain U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Spain U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U20 Spain U20
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 21 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.82 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 World Cup U20
Morocco U20 vs Spain U20
2:0
Jun 11, 2005 World Cup U20
Spain U20 vs Morocco U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabiri Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yassine G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spain U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U20 95 / 100
Spain U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U20 Spain U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco U20 scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Morocco U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spain U20 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U20 VS Spain U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U20

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 1
Morocco U20
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Morocco U20
0 : 1
Tunisia U21
22 Aug
Morocco U20
2 : 2
Turkey U20
Page 1 of 7

Spain U20

(Away)
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
04 Oct
Spain U20
1 : 0
Brazil U20
01 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 2
Mexico U20
28 Sept
Morocco U20
2 : 0
Spain U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams