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Morocco U20 W vs Venezuela U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morocco U20 W play Venezuela U20 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morocco U20 W averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Venezuela U20 W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Morocco U20 W won 0, Venezuela U20 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Morocco U20 W and 1.63 for Venezuela U20 W. This points to a Venezuela U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Morocco U20 W
21%
Draws
43%
Venezuela U20 W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Venezuela U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Venezuela U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Morocco U20 W Clean Sheet 14%
Venezuela U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U20 W Venezuela U20 W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
Morocco U20 W vs Venezuela U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boukakar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Venezuela U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zambrano Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U20 W 35 / 100
Venezuela U20 W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U20 W Venezuela U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Venezuela U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morocco U20 W attacking → ← attacking Venezuela U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U20 W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Venezuela U20 W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Morocco U20 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Venezuela U20 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 37
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38