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Morocco U23 vs Brazil U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Mon, Sep 11, 2023
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morocco U23 host Brazil U23 in the Friendly International 2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Morocco U23 have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Brazil U23's 1.75 scored and 0.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Morocco U23 have won 1 to Brazil U23's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.44, favoring Morocco U23. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morocco U23
33%
Draws
27%
Brazil U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Morocco U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morocco U23 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U23 Brazil U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U23 vs Brazil U23
0:0
Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U23 vs Brazil U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U23 39 / 100
Brazil U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U23 Brazil U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Morocco U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Brazil U23 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Brazil U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U23 VS Brazil U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U23

(Home)
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
26 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Wales U21
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Brazil U23

(Away)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
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