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Morocco U23 vs Mali U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Diakite A.
37' Event
Bouhamdi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Morocco U23
35%
Draws
40%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mali U23.
  • Mali U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Morocco U23 vs Mali U23
1:1
Jul 4, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Morocco U23 vs Mali U23
3:2
Sep 10, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Morocco U23
1:0
Sep 7, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Morocco U23 vs Mali U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhamdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U23 23 / 100
Mali U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Morocco U23 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Mali U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U23 VS Mali U23
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U23

(Home)
01 Oct
Morocco U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
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Mali U23

(Away)
01 Oct
Morocco U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
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