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Morocco vs Comoros

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Morocco Logo

Morocco

3 - 1
FT
Comoros Logo

Comoros

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bouftini S.
Assist: Tannane O.
11' Event
Tissoudali T.
Assist: Tannane O.
20'
Djambae A. S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Morocco
15%
Draws
21%
Comoros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Morocco have won more games recently than Comoros.
  • Morocco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Morocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Morocco have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Comoros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Comoros
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 24 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 1.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Comoros
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Morocco vs Comoros
3:1
Jan 14, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Comoros
2:0
Oct 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros vs Morocco
2:2
Oct 13, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Comoros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouftini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tissoudali T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Comoros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100
Comoros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Comoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Morocco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Comoros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Comoros
2.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 17%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Comoros

(Away)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)