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Morocco vs Sierra Leone

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Laurent Pokou, San Pédro
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Match Events

10' Event
Komeh A.
30' Event
En Nesyri Y.
35' Event
Boufal S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Morocco and Sierra Leone finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Morocco
15%
Draws
28%
Sierra Leone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morocco a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Morocco have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Sierra Leone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 24 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco vs Sierra Leone
3:1
Apr 25, 1997 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Morocco
0:1
Nov 8, 1996 World Championship
Morocco vs Sierra Leone
4:0
Jul 14, 1984 World Championship
Morocco vs Sierra Leone
4:0
Jun 29, 1984 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Morocco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer En Nesyri Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boufal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Komeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100
Sierra Leone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Sierra Leone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sierra Leone conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Morocco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Sierra Leone
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Sierra Leone

(Away)
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2
Sierra Leone
08 Oct
Sierra Leone
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
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