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Morocco W vs Algeria W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Morocco W Logo

Morocco W

1 - 0
FT
Algeria W Logo

Algeria W

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Adjabi I.
34'
Belloumou I.
36'
Ait El Haj H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Morocco W
15%
Draws
49%
Algeria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco W have won more games recently than Algeria W.
  • Win probability leans Algeria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Morocco W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Morocco W Clean Sheet 23%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco W Algeria W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Algeria W
1:2
Jul 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Algeria W
1:0
Feb 22, 2020 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Morocco W
0:2
Oct 22, 2018 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Algeria W
0:1
Mar 1, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Algeria W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mssoudy S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Algeria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco W 10 / 100
Algeria W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco W Algeria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Morocco W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Algeria W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Morocco W VS Algeria W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco W

(Home)
13 Oct
Morocco W
:
Congo W
09 Oct
Morocco W
3 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Oct
Congo W
:
Morocco W
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Morocco W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
Page 1 of 7

Algeria W

(Away)
09 Oct
Central Africa W
0 : 8
Algeria W
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)