Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Dowling W.
82'
82'
Hooper J.
AI Match Summary
Morpeth in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morpeth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Morpeth have won more games recently than Warrington Town.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 20%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morpeth | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Warrington Town
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Morpeth
0:0
Mar 28, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Warrington Town
0:4
Sep 6, 2022 FA Cup
Warrington Town vs Morpeth
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Morpeth vs Warrington Town
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morpeth Compare
Top Goalscorer Dowling W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hooper J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Warrington Town Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morpeth 32 / 100
Warrington Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morpeth Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Morpeth's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Morpeth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morpeth VS Warrington Town
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Morpeth
(Home) 12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 4
Warrington Town
(Away) 12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2 AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
