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Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2021
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

2 - 0
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2021 game between Morrinhos and Aparecida EC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Morrinhos
20%
Draws
23%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aparecida EC come out ahead of Morrinhos on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Morrinhos taking it.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Morrinhos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 20%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Aparecida EC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
2:0
Oct 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
4:1
Sep 3, 2019 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
3:1
Jul 24, 2013 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 58 / 100
Aparecida EC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morrinhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Morrinhos scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Aparecida EC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Morrinhos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Aparecida EC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
22 Aug
Rio Verde
1 : 2
Morrinhos
16 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Goiania
12 Aug
Goianesia
2 : 1
Morrinhos
08 Aug
Sao Luis
3 : 3
Morrinhos
02 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Mineiros
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goiatuba EC 10 7 1 2 15:5 22
2 Morrinhos 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
3 Inhumas 10 5 2 3 14:6 17
4 Anapolina 10 4 1 5 17:14 13
5 Goiania 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
6 Aparecida EC 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2022 (Main)