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Morrinhos vs Bom Jesus

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Hebert
78' Event
Hugo Jose
83' Event
Thomas

AI Match Summary

Bom Jesus in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Morrinhos
30%
Draws
43%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bom Jesus lately — more wins on the board than Morrinhos.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Bom Jesus taking it.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 10%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Bom Jesus
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 0
Goals Scored 0.9 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Bom Jesus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Jose
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bom Jesus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebert
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 10 / 100
Bom Jesus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morrinhos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Morrinhos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bom Jesus conceded in 41% of 17 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Bom Jesus
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
16 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Goiania
12 Aug
Goianesia
2 : 1
Morrinhos
08 Aug
Sao Luis
3 : 3
Morrinhos
02 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Mineiros
29 Jul
Morrinhos
1 : 2
Bom Jesus
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Bom Jesus

(Away)
16 Aug
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
12 Aug
Sao Luis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
09 Aug
Bom Jesus
0 : 0
Rio Verde
01 Aug
Trindade
0 : 2
Bom Jesus
29 Jul
Morrinhos
1 : 2
Bom Jesus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 6 5 1 0 13:2 16
2 Bom Jesus 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 Goianesia 6 3 2 1 7:7 11
4 Morrinhos 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
5 Goiania 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
6 Tupy FC 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
7 Gremio Anapolis 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
8 Sao Luis 6 0 4 2 8:12 4
9 Mineiros 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
10 Trindade 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 2026 (Main)