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Morrinhos vs Bom Jesus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

1 - 2
FT
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Hebert
78' Event
Hugo Jose
83' Event
Thomas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bom Jesus in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Morrinhos
35%
Draws
45%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bom Jesus lately — more wins on the board than Morrinhos.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Bom Jesus taking it.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 18%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Bom Jesus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.1 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Morrinhos
3:2
Jul 29, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Bom Jesus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Jose
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bom Jesus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebert
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 28 / 100
Bom Jesus 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Morrinhos scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Bom Jesus let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Morrinhos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Bom Jesus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
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Bom Jesus

(Away)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)