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Morrinhos vs Goiania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

2 - 0
FT
Goiania Logo

Goiania

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Danillo Ribeiro
46' Event
Paulo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Morrinhos
35%
Draws
39%
Goiania
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goiania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Morrinhos have won more games recently than Goiania.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 68%
Goiania Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Goiania
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Goiano 2
Goiania vs Morrinhos
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goiania
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goiania
1:1
Jan 25, 2023 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goiania
4:0
Nov 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goiania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Danillo Ribeiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Goiania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 41 / 100
Goiania 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Goiania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morrinhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morrinhos found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Goiania has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Morrinhos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Goiania
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
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Goiania

(Away)
07 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
4 : 0
Goiania
03 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Goiania
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)