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Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos host Gremio Anapolis in the Goiano 2. This one's hard to separate. Gremio Anapolis have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Morrinhos have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Morrinhos have won 2 to Gremio Anapolis's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.25, favoring Morrinhos. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Morrinhos
30%
Draws
16%
Gremio Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morrinhos lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Anapolis.
  • Win probability leans Morrinhos's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 19%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Gremio Anapolis
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:1
Jul 30, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
2:2
May 21, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
4:0
Feb 13, 2022 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 67 / 100
Gremio Anapolis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Gremio Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morrinhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Anapolis let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Morrinhos scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Morrinhos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Gremio Anapolis
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
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Gremio Anapolis

(Away)
03 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Rio Verde
27 Sept
Trindade
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 16 9 5 2 25:11 32
2 Bom Jesus 16 7 7 2 21:13 28
3 Goianesia 16 7 6 3 21:18 27
4 Mineiros 16 7 4 5 17:14 25
5 Morrinhos 16 6 4 6 22:21 22
6 Goiania 16 4 8 4 13:14 20
7 Tupy FC 16 4 6 6 14:16 18
8 Sao Luis 16 3 7 6 18:23 16
9 Trindade 16 2 6 8 13:23 12
10 Gremio Anapolis 16 2 5 9 16:27 11
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)