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Morrinhos vs Sao Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Santana de Sousa J. V.
43' Event
Roniel
(Penalty)
76' Event
Matheus Paraiba

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Morrinhos and Sao Luis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Morrinhos
30%
Draws
39%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morrinhos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Sao Luis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Sao Luis
2:1
Aug 8, 2026 Goiano 2
Sao Luis vs Morrinhos
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Paraiba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sao Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana de Sousa J. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 36 / 100
Sao Luis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Morrinhos found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sao Luis has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Morrinhos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Sao Luis
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
Page 1 of 6

Sao Luis

(Away)
07 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 3
Goianesia
03 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Goiania
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Trindade
19 Sept
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)