Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025

Mortagua FC

2 - 2

Alcains

Our Tip

Match Events

Cotel A.

25'

Fabio Erins

45'

Jimenez R. A. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mortagua FC

Draws

Alcains

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Alcains haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
Mortagua FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%

Alcains Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mortagua FC	Alcains
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Alcains

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Alcains vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Alcains

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

0:4

Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Alcains vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Mar 6, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Mortagua FC vs Alcains

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cotel A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rianco J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Alcains Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Erins

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jimenez R. A. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 95 / 100

Alcains 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mortagua FC Alcains

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcains's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Alcains lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mortagua FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	O Elvas CAD	26	20	5	1	41:10	65
2	Fatima	26	14	7	5	30:12	49
3	Arronches Benfica	26	13	9	4	27:17	48
4	GD Peniche	26	10	9	7	31:23	39
5	Os Marialvas	26	9	10	7	30:28	37
6	Mortagua FC	26	8	13	5	23:21	37
7	Marinhense	26	9	9	8	24:21	36
8	Alverca B	26	9	8	9	28:25	35
9	SB Castelo Branco	26	8	10	8	23:21	34
10	SC Pombal	26	8	8	10	29:34	32
11	Uniao de Coimbra	26	6	7	13	26:44	25
12	Sertanense	26	4	9	13	23:33	21
13	Alcains	26	4	6	16	17:36	18
14	Pero Pinheiro	26	2	6	18	12:39	12