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Mortagua FC vs Electrico FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pais J.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Ferrao J.
Own Goal
42'
Paredes G.

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mortagua FC
33%
Draws
27%
Electrico FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than Electrico FC.
  • Win probability leans Mortagua FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 17%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC Electrico FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Electrico FC
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Mortagua FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Electrico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 39 / 100
Electrico FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC Electrico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Mortagua FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Electrico FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS Electrico FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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Electrico FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)