Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Mortagua FC and Fazendense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mortagua FC come out ahead of Fazendense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mortagua FC's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mortagua FC | Fazendense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 14 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mortagua FC Compare
Fazendense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fazendense conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.
Mortagua FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Mortagua FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mortagua FC
(Home)Fazendense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uniao Da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortagua FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas CAD | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fatima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | 1 |