Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023

Mortagua FC

1 - 2

GD Coruchense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Mortagua FC and GD Coruchense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Coruchense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Mortagua FC

40%

Draws

29%

GD Coruchense

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

GD Coruchense haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%

GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mortagua FC	GD Coruchense
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	19	10
Draws	10	9
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

GD Coruchense vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs GD Coruchense

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 32 / 100

GD Coruchense 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mortagua FC GD Coruchense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Mortagua FC scored in 68% of their last 41 games.

GD Coruchense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

GD Coruchense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	1º Dezembro	25	15	5	5	37:19	50
2	Pero Pinheiro	25	15	7	4	34:24	49
3	Santarem	25	13	9	3	40:14	48
4	Marinhense	25	12	6	7	31:24	42
5	SB Castelo Branco	25	10	10	5	33:27	40
6	Mortagua FC	25	9	9	7	41:38	36
7	Sertanense	25	9	9	7	30:25	36
8	Sintrense	25	10	9	7	34:25	36
9	GD Coruchense	25	8	9	9	30:28	30
10	Uniao Da Serra	25	9	3	13	31:40	30
11	GS Loures	25	6	7	12	26:41	25
12	Arronches Benfica	25	5	4	16	15:39	19
13	Alcains	25	4	2	19	23:47	14
14	Rio Maior SC	0	1	0	12	0:0	0