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Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Mortagua FC and Oliveira de Frades finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mortagua FC
20%
Draws
38%
Oliveira de Frades
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Oliveira de Frades haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
  • Mortagua FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC Oliveira de Frades
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
0:3
Apr 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
3:1
Feb 14, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades
2:1
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
1:2
Aug 23, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 41 / 100
Oliveira de Frades 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC Oliveira de Frades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira de Frades let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Mortagua FC scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Difficult form: Oliveira de Frades registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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Oliveira de Frades

(Away)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sanjoanense1494127:1146
2FC Cesarense1483320:1438
3Lusitano FCV1454516:1034
4Mortagua FC1461713:1629
5Gafanha1454514:1727
6Lusitania FC1445513:1627
7Oliveira de Frades1433815:2222
8Bustelo1432910:2218
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)