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Mortagua FC vs Rio Maior SC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Mortagua FC Logo

Mortagua FC

1 - 0
FT
Rio Maior SC Logo

Rio Maior SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Mortagua FC and Rio Maior SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mortagua FC
20%
Draws
7%
Rio Maior SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mortagua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mortagua FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC Rio Maior SC
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 15 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Mortagua FC
0:0
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Rio Maior SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 68 / 100
Rio Maior SC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC Rio Maior SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mortagua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rio Maior SC conceded in 94% of 17 recent games.

Mortagua FC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Mortagua FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rio Maior SC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Fazendense
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1
Mortagua FC
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7

Rio Maior SC

(Away)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)