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Morteau Montlebon vs Nogentais

France France

Coupe de France 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morteau Montlebon play Nogentais in the Coupe de France 2021/2022. Morteau Montlebon are favorites here. Recently, Morteau Montlebon averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Nogentais averaged 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, Morteau Montlebon won 1, Nogentais won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 14, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Morteau Montlebon and 1.33 for Nogentais. This points to a Morteau Montlebon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Morteau Montlebon
28%
Draws
22%
Nogentais
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Morteau Montlebon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Morteau Montlebon has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nogentais.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Morteau Montlebon.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coupe de France 2021/2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Morteau Montlebon Clean Sheet 18%
Nogentais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morteau Montlebon Nogentais
Matches Played 6 1
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.67 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2021 Coupe de France
Morteau Montlebon vs Nogentais
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morteau Montlebon Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchagra R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Journot T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nogentais Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morteau Montlebon 49 / 100
Nogentais 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morteau Montlebon Nogentais

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morteau Montlebon scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Nogentais let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Morteau Montlebon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nogentais lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morteau Montlebon VS Nogentais
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.67 Goals Conceded 4
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montlucon0
Bergerac1
Stade Bordelais2
AS Muret1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Metz-
Venissieux FC3
Cosne US2
Neuville1
Moulins-Yzeure2
Sarrebourg2
Esperance Aulnaysienne1
Molsheim Ernolsheim1
Creteil2
Jura Dolois0
Bourg Peronnas4
Lons2
Jura Sud4
Makes1
Saint-Denis9
Canet Roussillon3
Pau2
Illzach Modenheim0
Mulhouse2
Koetzingue0
Lyon - La Duchere4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Etienne-
Solidarite Scolaire2
AS Le Gosier1
Schiltigheim1
Sarre Union2
Versailles3
Olympique Lumbrois2
FC Saint-Julien1
Poissy2
Toulouse Metropole1
Brive0
Limens JSA1
Montauban2
Carquefou0
US Tregunc1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant0
La Roche Vendee2
Cannes2
Le Puy-en-Velay1
Blavozy1
Rodez2
Morteau Montlebon4
Nogentais0
St Apollinaire0
Dijon3
Trelissac2
Venus0
Libourne0
Toulouse1
Aubagne FC3
Martigues2
FC Chusclan-Laudun-L'Ardoise0
Nimes3
ET.S. Municipale Hamel1
Salouel3
Wasquehal4
Bethune0
Ergue-Gaberic-
TBD-
Saint-Philbert0
Vannes2
Dutemple1
Amiens AC2
Bully-les-Mines0
Feignies-Aulnoye6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
PSG-
Club Colonial0
Franciscain1
SAG Cestas0
Cholet2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nice-
Sedan2
Paris FC3
ASC Ouest0
Cayenne2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
Ouest Tourangeau0
Chauvigny1
Vierzon Foot0
Le Havre2
Chatou3
ES Nanterre2
Gueretoise1
Chartres2
Cannet Rocheville3
Istres2
Ales0
Borgo2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marseille-
Vichy1
Andrezieux2
Saint-Cyr Collonges1
Grenoble2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montpellier-
Calonne Ricouart1
CMS Oissel0
Tourcoing0
Valenciennes2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Strasbourg-
Panazol2
Senart-Moissy1
Mainvilliers1
Angouleme CFC3
Perros-Louannec2
Lannion FC1
Caennaise2
Vitre3
Montchat Lyon1
FR Saint Marcel0
Bresse Jura Foot1
Sochaux3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nantes-
Dinan2
Caen1
Plabennec0
Saint-Malo1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brest-
Bordeaux-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pledran1
Zouasia5
Trouville Deauville1
Plancoet-Arguenon FC2
Thionville0
Biesheim5
Morhange0
Thaon4
Chambly3
Rouen2
Mineurs de Waziers1
Beauvais3
Reims Ste Anne2
FC Bobigny 931
Magny2
Eloyes FC1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reims-
St-Etienne Cote Chaude0
Hauts Lyonnais3
Bourgoin Jallieu1
Ain Sud Foot0
Les Herbiers2
Saumur Olympique1
Fougeres0
Bastia2
Bas d'Avignon1
Frontignan AC0
Langlade1
Agde2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clermont-
Feytiat0
Stade Poitevin2
AC Ajaccio0
Orleans1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lens-
Lille-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chambery2
Villefranche1
Limonest2
Auxerre4
Cergy Pontoise1
J3S Amilly3
Etaples1
Quevilly3
Lucon0
Laval2
ESOF La Roche1
Le Mans4
Val de Reuil0
GFC Ajaccio3
US Esquelbecq1
Red Star3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monaco-
Troyes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Champigneulles1
Bischheim Soleil2
Plantieres Metz1
Nancy3
Rennes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lorient-
Linas-Montlhery1
Dunkerque0
Loon Plage3
Evreux4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Angers-
Liffre0
Guingamp8
Saint Lo Manche1
Stade Briochin2
ES Anzin0
Amiens SC5
Cambrai3
Raismes0
1/64-finals
Bergerac4
Stade Bordelais0
TBD-
Metz-
Venissieux FC2
Moulins-Yzeure1
Sarrebourg1
Creteil3
Bourg Peronnas2
Jura Sud3
Saint-Denis2
Canet Roussillon1
Mulhouse1
Lyon - La Duchere3
TBD-
St Etienne-
Solidarite Scolaire0
Sarre Union2
Versailles1
Poissy0
Toulouse Metropole0
Montauban1
US Tregunc0
La Roche Vendee3
Cannes2
Rodez1
Morteau Montlebon0
Dijon2
Trelissac1
Toulouse3
Aubagne FC2
Nimes3
Salouel0
Wasquehal3
Ergue-Gaberic1
Vannes2
Amiens AC1
Feignies-Aulnoye2
TBD-
PSG-
Franciscain1
Cholet2
TBD-
Nice-
Paris FC14
Cayenne0
TBD-
Lyon-
Chauvigny1
Le Havre0
Chatou4
Chartres5
Cannet Rocheville2
Borgo1
TBD-
Marseille-
Andrezieux3
Grenoble0
TBD-
Montpellier-
Calonne Ricouart1
Valenciennes4
TBD-
Strasbourg-
Panazol2
Angouleme CFC1
Perros-Louannec0
Vitre3
Montchat Lyon0
Sochaux3
TBD-
Nantes-
Dinan3
Saint-Malo2
TBD-
Brest-
Bordeaux-
TBD-
Zouasia3
Plancoet-Arguenon FC1
Biesheim0
Thaon1
Chambly0
Beauvais1
Reims Ste Anne3
Magny0
TBD-
Reims-
Hauts Lyonnais4
Bourgoin Jallieu3
Les Herbiers1
Bastia2
Bas d'Avignon1
Agde0
TBD-
Clermont-
Stade Poitevin2
Orleans1
TBD-
Lens-
Lille-
TBD-
Chambery4
Auxerre6
J3S Amilly0
Quevilly5
Laval2
Le Mans1
GFC Ajaccio1
Red Star2
TBD-
Monaco-
Troyes-
TBD-
Bischheim Soleil0
Nancy1
Rennes-
TBD-
TBD-
Lorient-
Linas-Montlhery2
Evreux1
TBD-
Angers-
Guingamp1
Stade Briochin0
Amiens SC4
Cambrai1
1/32-finals
Bergerac1
Metz0
Venissieux FC0
Creteil3
Jura Sud5
Saint-Denis2
Lyon - La Duchere0
St Etienne1
Sarre Union0
Versailles1
Montauban1
La Roche Vendee2
Cannes2
Dijon1
Toulouse4
Nimes1
Wasquehal0
Vannes4
Feignies-Aulnoye0
PSG3
Cholet0
Nice1
Paris FC1
Lyon1
Chauvigny2
Chartres1
Cannet Rocheville1
Marseille4
Andrezieux0
Montpellier1
Valenciennes0
Strasbourg1
Panazol1
Vitre2
Sochaux0
Nantes1
Dinan0
Brest1
Bordeaux10
Zouasia0
Thaon4
Beauvais3
Reims Ste Anne0
Reims1
Hauts Lyonnais1
Bastia3
Bas d'Avignon0
Clermont4
Stade Poitevin0
Lens1
Lille3
Auxerre1
Quevilly2
Laval1
Red Star0
Monaco2
Troyes1
Nancy2
Rennes1
Lorient0
Linas-Montlhery2
Angers0
Guingamp2
Amiens SC3
1/16-finals
Bergerac1
Creteil0
Jura Sud1
St Etienne4
Versailles4
La Roche Vendee0
Cannes0
Toulouse1
Vannes0
PSG4
Nice-
TBD-
Chauvigny0
Marseille3
Montpellier1
Strasbourg0
Vitre0
Nantes2
Brest3
Bordeaux0
Thaon0
Reims1
Bastia2
Clermont0
Lens3
Lille2
Quevilly1
Monaco3
Nancy2
Rennes1
Linas-Montlhery3
Amiens SC4
1/8-finals
Bergerac1
St Etienne0
Versailles1
Toulouse0
PSG0
Nice1
Marseille2
Montpellier1
Nantes2
Brest0
Reims1
Bastia2
Lens2
Monaco4
Nancy0
Amiens SC2
Quarter-finals
Bergerac1
Versailles2
Nice4
Marseille1
Nantes2
Bastia0
Monaco2
Amiens SC0
Semi-finals
Versailles0
Nice2
Nantes3
Monaco2
Final
Nice0
Nantes1