Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morton vs Airdrieonians

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
McGrattan L.
27'
Longridge J.
37'
Telfer Ch.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Morton
15%
Draws
78%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Airdrieonians's recent run of results.
  • Airdrieonians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Morton Clean Sheet 18%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Airdrieonians
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Airdrieonians
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Morton
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Airdrieonians
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Morton
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Morton
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morton Compare

Top Goalscorer Main C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Airdrieonians conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Morton scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Morton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Airdrieonians
0.57 Goals Scored 1
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1
Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)