Sport Picks
Morton vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Cappielow Park, Greenock 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 4-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kelty Hearts have shipped 2.19 goals a game lately, while Morton have conceded 1.69 and scored 0.69. Head-to-head, Morton have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2023, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Kelty Hearts to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Morton haven't matched Kelty Hearts's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Morton's way, sitting at 80%.
- Kelty Hearts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Morton, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morton | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kelty Hearts let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Kelty Hearts registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Morton found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
