Sport Picks
Morton vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock 
AI Match Summary
Morton host Stenhousemuir in the Championship. Stenhousemuir are expected to control this from the start. Morton have averaged 0.71 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Stenhousemuir's 1.45 scored and 0.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Morton slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.69, favoring Stenhousemuir. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Morton on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morton | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Morton scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Morton went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Morton
(Home)Stenhousemuir
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | 4 |
