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Stadium Background

Morud vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2024/2025 Morud VVS-El Stadion, Morud
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Helenius N.
10'
Sub
Birkholm V. In: Petersen L.
Out: Birkholm V.
24' Event
Kramer L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Aalborg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Morud
20%
Draws
50%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg taking it.
  • Aalborg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aalborg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Aalborg
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.78 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Aalborg
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morud Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Helenius N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kramer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Aalborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (9 games).

Aalborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Morud has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Aalborg
2 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Aalborg

(Away)
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Christiansbjerg IF 1
Brabrand 3
ASA Aarhus 1
Thisted FC 2
Sonderborg Fremad 1
Boldklubben 1913 7
TBD -
Randers FC -
Svebolle 0
Nykobing 1
ESPM 0
Fremad Amager 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
LKB Gistrup 2
ACFC 3
Ostre 1
Naesby 5
Nerashte Ballerup 0
B 1908 1
Karlslunde 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Middelfart 1
Odense 0
Gug 0
Hobro 3
Kjellerup 0
Horsens 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Ringsted 1
Bronshoj 2
TBD -
Vejle -
Bagsvaerd 1
BK Frem 6
TBD -
Lyngby -
Gorslev IF 3
Sundby 1
Kastrup 1
Hvidovre IF 2
FC Bih Odense 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 4
Varde 0
Kolding IF 6
Vigerslev 0
Herlev 1
Nordfalster 0
Ishoj IF 6
Solrod FC 4
Nakskov 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Boldklubben 1960 0
Allerod 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Koge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kolding BK 2
Dalum IF 1
Lyseng 0
Vendsyssel FF 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Skjern GF 0
OKS Odense 4
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
BBB 1
Give Fremad 2
Aalborg Chang 0
Skive 3
Bornholm 3
Birkerod 2
AB Tarnby 1
Helsingor 3
Odder 0
VSK Aarhus 2
Vatanspor 0
Aarhus Fremad 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
FB 0
AB Copenhagen 4
Jyllinge 0
Holbaek 3
Norresundby 1
Young Boys FD 4
Lemming IF 1
Holstebro 10
LUIF 0
Vanlose 10
Hellerup 0
Roskilde 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Herlufsholm 0
Horsholm-Usserod 4
Gladsaxe 0
Avarta 2
Aalborg Freja 1
Vejgaard 4
Fredericia FF 0
Esbjerg 8
Boldklubben 1909 3
SfB-Oure 1
Ringkobing 1
Fredericia 9
Morud 3
Tarup-Paarup 2
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/32-finals
Brabrand 3
Thisted FC 0
Boldklubben 1913 0
Randers FC 10
Nykobing 2
Fremad Amager 3
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
ACFC 1
Naesby 10
B 1908 1
Boldklubben 1893 4
Middelfart 3
Hobro 2
Horsens 0
Viborg 4
Bronshoj 2
Vejle 1
BK Frem 4
Lyngby 1
Gorslev IF 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Kolding IF 4
Herlev 1
Ishoj IF 4
Solrod FC 0
Sonderjyske 7
Allerod 0
Koge 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kolding BK 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
TBD -
Brondby -
OKS Odense 1
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Give Fremad 0
Skive 5
Bornholm 0
Helsingor 3
VSK Aarhus 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
TBD -
Aarhus -
AB Copenhagen 0
Holbaek 2
Young Boys FD 1
Holstebro 3
Vanlose 1
Roskilde 2
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Avarta 2
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Fredericia 4
Morud 0
Aalborg 7
1/16-finals
Brabrand 1
Randers FC 0
Fremad Amager 0
Nordsjaelland 5
Naesby 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Middelfart 2
Viborg 3
Bronshoj 0
BK Frem 3
Hvidovre IF 1
Kolding IF 2
Ishoj IF 2
Sonderjyske 3
Koge 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Brondby 5
Hillerod 1
Midtjylland 4
Skive 5
Helsingor 0
VSK Aarhus 0
Aarhus 2
Holbaek 2
Holstebro 1
Roskilde 1
Silkeborg 3
Avarta 2
Esbjerg 3
Fredericia 1
Aalborg 4
1/8-finals
Brabrand 2
Nordsjaelland 1
Naesby 1
Viborg 4
BK Frem 0
Kolding IF 2
Sonderjyske 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 1
Midtjylland 0
Skive 2
Aarhus 3
Holbaek 0
Silkeborg 6
Esbjerg 0
Aalborg 2
Quarter-finals
Brabrand 1
Viborg 7
Kolding IF 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Brondby 4
Aarhus 3
Silkeborg 4
Aalborg 3
Semi-finals
Viborg 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 4
Silkeborg 5
Final
FC Copenhagen 3
Silkeborg 0