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Morupule vs Matebele

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Morupule and Matebele finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matebele.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Morupule
20%
Draws
29%
Matebele
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Morupule carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Morupule taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Matebele Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Matebele
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.31 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Matebele
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Morupule
6:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Morupule
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Matebele
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Premier League
Matebele vs Morupule
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 49 / 100
Matebele 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Matebele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morupule's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Matebele's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Morupule went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Matebele
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Morupule
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Matebele

(Away)
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
06 May
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
Matebele
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)