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Moslavina vs Oriolik

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vranesic A.
85' Event
Benic I.

AI Match Summary

The Croatian Cup 2021/2022 game between Moslavina and Oriolik finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriolik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moslavina
6%
Draws
4%
Oriolik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moslavina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriolik come out ahead of Moslavina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moslavina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Croatian Cup 2021/2022 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moslavina Clean Sheet 10%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moslavina Oriolik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2021 Croatian Cup
Moslavina vs Oriolik
0:2
Aug 29, 2007 Croatian Cup
Oriolik vs Moslavina
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moslavina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Oriolik Compare

Top Goalscorer Vranesic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moslavina 83 / 100
Oriolik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moslavina Oriolik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oriolik conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Away concern: Oriolik has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Moslavina scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Moslavina VS Oriolik
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sesvete1
Mladost Petrinja0
TBD-
Varazdin-
Radnik Krizevci2
Dugopolje3
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Belisce4
Mladost Prelog1
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Primorac Biograd1
Samobor0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Nehaj Senj2
Borac Imbriovec0
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Mladost Zdralovi4
Neretvanac2
TBD-
Zapresic-
Granicar Zupanja0
Rudar Labin1
TBD-
RNK Split-
Vuteks Sloga3
NK Straza Hum na Sutli1
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Virovitica0
Bijelo Brdo4
TBD-
Cibalia-
Orijent2
Marsonia1
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
NK Zagreb-
TBD-
Moslavina0
Oriolik2
Pitomaca2
Kurilovec0
TBD-
Rijeka-
Podravina Ludbreg0
Bjelovar1
TBD-
Rudes-
Bednja Beletinec1
Uljanik Pula0
TBD-
Osijek-
Medjimurje4
Slavonija Pozega0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Zagora1
Karlovac2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
1/16-finals
Sesvete2
Varazdin3
Dugopolje1
Lok. Zagreb2
Belisce4
Jaska Vinogradar0
Primorac Biograd1
Hajduk Split2
Nehaj Senj3
HNK Gorica7
Mladost Zdralovi3
Zapresic1
Rudar Labin2
RNK Split0
Vuteks Sloga0
Istra 19613
Bijelo Brdo1
Cibalia0
Orijent1
Din. Zagreb4
NK Zagreb0
Oriolik1
Pitomaca0
Rijeka7
Bjelovar1
Rudes5
Bednja Beletinec0
Osijek3
Medjimurje0
Sibenik1
Karlovac0
Slaven Belupo2
1/8-finals
Varazdin2
Lok. Zagreb3
Belisce1
Hajduk Split5
HNK Gorica2
Mladost Zdralovi0
Rudar Labin2
Istra 19613
Bijelo Brdo2
Din. Zagreb3
Oriolik0
Rijeka6
Rudes0
Osijek2
Sibenik1
Slaven Belupo2
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb3
Hajduk Split6
HNK Gorica3
Istra 19612
Din. Zagreb1
Rijeka3
Osijek1
Slaven Belupo0
Semi-finals
Hajduk Split2
HNK Gorica1
Rijeka3
Osijek2
Final
Hajduk Split3
Rijeka1