Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moslavina vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Stefulj D.
30' Event
Mioc B.
35' Event
Hoxha A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Slaven Belupo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Moslavina
39%
Draws
30%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moslavina come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Moslavina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Slaven Belupo, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Moslavina Clean Sheet 22%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moslavina Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Croatian Cup
Moslavina vs Slaven Belupo
2:4
Oct 29, 2008 Croatian Cup
Moslavina vs Slaven Belupo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moslavina Compare

Top Goalscorer Loncarevic L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefulj D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mioc B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moslavina 32 / 100
Slaven Belupo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moslavina Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Slaven Belupo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Moslavina found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Slaven Belupo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moslavina

(Home)
27 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
3 : 0
Moslavina
28 Aug
Zrinski Osjecko
4 : 0
Moslavina
20 Sept
Moslavina
2 : 4
Slaven Belupo
30 Aug
Jalzabet
1 : 3
Moslavina
19 Oct
Moslavina
1 : 2
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

Slaven Belupo

(Away)
16 Jul
Paks
5 : 3
Slaven Belupo
14 Jul
Slaven Belupo
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10 Jul
Slaven Belupo
0 : 1
Debrecen
08 Jul
Slaven Belupo
3 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
04 Jul
Slaven Belupo
2 : 3
Zalaegerszegi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 19914
Granicar Kotoriba0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
Dugo Selo3
Pitomaca2
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Vardarac Vardaroc1
Karlovac2
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Gospic2
Kutjevo4
TBD-
Osijek-
Granicar Zupanja0
Croatia Zmijavci3
TBD-
Rudes-
Jalzabet1
Moslavina3
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Cibalia-
TBD-
TBD-
NK Zagreb-
NK Libertas Novska1
Medjimurec0
TBD-
Rijeka-
NK Tomislav Drnje1
Jadran Luka Ploce4
Belisce3
Novi Marof0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba2
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Papuk Orahovica1
Grobnican29
TBD-
Varazdin-
Rudar Labin2
Zagora3
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Jadran Porec2
Mladost Zdralovi1
TBD-
Oriolik-
Bilogora0
Ponikve2
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zagorec Krapina1
Omladinac Staro Topolje0
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Primorac Biograd0
Radnik Krizevci2
TBD-
Sibenik-
1/16-finals
Vukovar 19914
Bijelo Brdo1
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb1
Karlovac2
Jaska Vinogradar1
Kutjevo1
Osijek4
Croatia Zmijavci0
Rudes1
Moslavina2
Slaven Belupo4
Cibalia6
NK Zagreb0
NK Libertas Novska0
Rijeka9
Jadran Luka Ploce2
Belisce1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba0
Hajduk Split6
Grobnican0
Varazdin1
Zagora0
Istra 19612
Jadran Porec0
Oriolik1
Ponikve1
Din. Zagreb4
Zagorec Krapina0
HNK Gorica2
Radnik Krizevci4
Sibenik3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 19911
Lok. Zagreb2
Karlovac0
Osijek1
Rudes3
Slaven Belupo1
Cibalia1
Rijeka3
Jadran Luka Ploce0
Hajduk Split2
Varazdin3
Istra 19612
Oriolik0
Din. Zagreb8
HNK Gorica4
Radnik Krizevci0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb1
Osijek0
Rudes0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split5
Varazdin0
Din. Zagreb4
HNK Gorica0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split0
Din. Zagreb1
Final
Rijeka1
Din. Zagreb3