Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Haugesund

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Semmen N.
Assist: Musbaudeen J.
10' Event
Leite B.
28' Event
Sandberg N.
Assist: Remmem L.

AI Match Summary

Haugesund in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haugesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moss
15%
Draws
58%
Haugesund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haugesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haugesund lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
  • Haugesund are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Haugesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Haugesund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Haugesund
1:4
May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Haugesund vs Moss
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Haugesund vs Moss
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Eliteserien
Haugesund vs Moss
2:0
Dec 5, 2024 Eliteserien
Moss vs Haugesund
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Semmen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Haugesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandberg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 10 / 100
Haugesund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Haugesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haugesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moss scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Haugesund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Moss went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Haugesund
1.88 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
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Haugesund

(Away)
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
08 Sept
Djerv 1919
0 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Bryne
0 : 2
Haugesund
26 Aug
Haugesund
3 : 0
Egersund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 22 16 1 5 68:37 49
2 Kongsvinger 22 14 5 3 63:34 47
3 Stromsgodset 22 13 6 3 58:31 45
4 Stabaek 22 13 3 6 55:28 42
5 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
6 Hodd 22 10 4 8 37:40 34
7 Odds BK 22 9 6 7 42:35 33
8 Egersund 22 8 5 9 35:39 29
9 Lyn 22 8 4 10 38:44 28
10 Ranheim 22 7 4 11 52:57 25
11 Strommen 22 7 4 11 33:48 25
12 Sandnes Ulf 22 7 3 12 31:40 24
13 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 37:51 23
14 Moss 22 6 4 12 36:51 22
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 22 6 1 15 26:59 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)