Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Northwich Victoria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mossley AFC play Northwich Victoria in the FA Trophy 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mossley AFC averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Northwich Victoria averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Mossley AFC won 1, Northwich Victoria won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 11, 2016 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Mossley AFC and 1.38 for Northwich Victoria. This points to a Mossley AFC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Mossley AFC

27%

Draws

35%

Northwich Victoria

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Mossley AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Mossley AFC picked up more points recently compared to Northwich Victoria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Mossley AFC Clean Sheet 17%

Northwich Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mossley AFC	Northwich Victoria
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	6	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.53	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2016 FA Trophy

Mossley AFC vs Northwich Victoria

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

3:2

Oct 9, 2016 FA Trophy

Northwich Victoria vs Mossley AFC

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Nov 2, 2013 FA Trophy

Northwich Victoria vs Mossley AFC

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mossley AFC 38 / 100

Northwich Victoria 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mossley AFC Northwich Victoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mossley AFC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mossley AFC attacking → ← attacking Northwich Victoria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mossley AFC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Northwich Victoria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mossley AFC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Northwich Victoria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 42

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00