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Mostaganem vs Oran Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Belhamiti Larbi, Mostaganem
Mostaganem Logo

Mostaganem

0 - 0
FT
Oran Logo

Oran

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mostaganem and Oran finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mostaganem
30%
Draws
47%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oran come out ahead of Mostaganem on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oran a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem Oran
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.66 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
0:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 10 / 100
Oran 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Mostaganem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mostaganem found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS Oran
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
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Oran

(Away)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)