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Mostaganem vs Tlemcen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
82'
83'

AI Match Summary

Mostaganem in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mostaganem
20%
Draws
23%
Tlemcen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mostaganem haven't matched Tlemcen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mostaganem's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 68%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem Tlemcen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Tlemcen
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Tlemcen
2:0
Dec 10, 2022 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Mostaganem
1:0
Feb 9, 2019 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Tlemcen
1:2
Sep 15, 2018 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Mostaganem
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 95 / 100
Tlemcen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem Tlemcen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mostaganem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tlemcen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Mostaganem went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tlemcen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS Tlemcen
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
30 Oct
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Saida
24 Oct
WA Mostaganem
0 : 0
Mostaganem
17 Oct
Mostaganem
2 : 0
Tlemcen
13 Oct
Kolea
2 : 3
Mostaganem
09 Oct
Mostaganem
0 : 1
GC Mascara
Page 1 of 6

Tlemcen

(Away)
30 Oct
Sidi Benali
3 : 2
Tlemcen
23 Oct
Tlemcen
2 : 0
Taghit
17 Oct
Mostaganem
2 : 0
Tlemcen
13 Oct
Tlemcen
0 : 2
USM Blida
09 Oct
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MSP Batna 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
2 Magra 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
3 Azazga 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Annaba 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 MO Bejaia 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
6 Skikda 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Khroub 8 3 3 2 6:5 12
8 Beni Oulbane 8 3 2 3 5:5 11
9 Paradou 7 3 1 3 11:8 10
10 CA Batna 8 2 4 2 6:5 10
11 MO Constantine 8 2 4 2 7:9 10
12 Telaghema 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
13 US Chaouia 7 2 2 3 3:7 8
14 IRB Nezla 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
15 Beni Thour 7 1 0 6 6:14 3
16 JS Djijel 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GC Mascara 8 6 2 0 17:4 20
2 USM Blida 8 6 2 0 13:3 20
3 RC Kouba 8 5 3 0 17:3 18
4 Mostaganem 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Saida 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
6 Sidi Benali 8 4 2 2 13:12 14
7 ASM Oran 8 3 3 2 11:5 12
8 Harrach 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 Kolea 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
10 Hussein Dey 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
11 WA Mostaganem 8 1 4 3 8:10 7
12 Tlemcen 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
13 JSM Tiaret 8 1 3 4 13:12 6
14 El Bayadh 8 0 4 4 2:8 4
15 Taghit 8 0 1 7 2:25 1
16 Arba 6 1 1 4 5:13 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)