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Mostaganem vs USM Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
Mostaganem Logo

Mostaganem

4 - 2
FT
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2008/2009 game between Mostaganem and USM Setif finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mostaganem
20%
Draws
60%
USM Setif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Mostaganem haven't matched USM Setif's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USM Setif a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 20%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem USM Setif
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.64 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2010 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Mostaganem
1:3
Nov 20, 2009 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs USM Setif
1:1
May 25, 2009 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs USM Setif
4:2
Dec 19, 2008 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Mostaganem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 10 / 100
USM Setif 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem USM Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Setif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

USM Setif let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Difficult form: USM Setif registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mostaganem scored in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
Page 1 of 8

USM Setif

(Away)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)