Sport Picks
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction & H2H Stats
Honduras
Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Motagua in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motagua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lobos UPNFM haven't matched Motagua's recent run of results.
- Model gives Motagua a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motagua | Lobos UPNFM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motagua Compare
Lobos UPNFM Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Motagua found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Lobos UPNFM has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Motagua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Motagua
(Home)Lobos UPNFM
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Marathon | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Genesis FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 8 | Atletico Independiente | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 10 | CD Choloma | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | 6 |
| 12 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:18 | 5 |
