Sport Picks
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
Honduras
Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles 
AI Match Summary
Motagua host Lobos UPNFM in the Liga Nacional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Motagua have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Lobos UPNFM's 0.86 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Motagua have won 1 to Lobos UPNFM's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.66 xG vs 0.99) point toward Motagua. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lobos UPNFM haven't matched Motagua's recent run of results.
- Model gives Motagua a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motagua | Lobos UPNFM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motagua's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Lobos UPNFM conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Motagua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Marathon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Juticalpa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lobos UPNFM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Estrella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Genesis FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Olancho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | CD Choloma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |