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Motala vs Vanersborgs IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ali K.
44' Event
Qasem K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Motala in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Motala
30%
Draws
0%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Motala's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Motala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Motala Clean Sheet 19%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Motala
3:3
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
4:2
May 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Motala
3:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 85 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vanersborgs IF lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Motala's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS Vanersborgs IF
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
8 Stenungsunds IF 21 7 6 8 35:29 27
9 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
10 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
11 Lidkoping 21 5 6 10 23:39 21
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 23:41 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 21:58 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)