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Motherwell vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Yeats F.
46'
Sub
Booth M. In: Lowry A.
Out: Booth M.
46'
Sub
Yeats F. In: Sibbald C.
Out: Yeats F.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Motherwell and Falkirk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Motherwell
30%
Draws
39%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkirk come out ahead of Motherwell on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Falkirk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Falkirk
0:0
May 2, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Motherwell
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Falkirk
2:3
Dec 3, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Motherwell
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Falkirk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 36 / 100
Falkirk 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Falkirk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Motherwell went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Falkirk
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)